A NEW POLL SHOWS HARRIS GAINING 8 POINTS OVER TRUMP WITH INDEPENDENT VOTERS
Of the many relevant variables that defines presidential elections in the United States in recent decades, independent voters have only become more and more strategically important. Independent voters, of course, like to identify with a political identity that isn’t specifically or consistently right or left, Republican or Democrat. That opens up quite the range of topical political priority, depending on the individual and their region of residence. In other words, identifying what drives one of these voters to the toll booth is a fluid chore. But they’re now very key to winning the main seat in the Oval Office. So it’s remarkable that a new poll shows that Donald Trump has lost a massive 8 points with independent voters.
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HARRIS’ LEAD WITH INDEPENDENT VOTERS IS NOW 13 POINTS, WHICH COULD BE A MAJOR TREND
The new poll is from Florida Atlantic University Political Communication, Public Opinion Research Lab and Mainstreet Research USA. The overall numbers from the poll show Kamala Harris with a general lead of 4 points. Notably, that number only seems to be growing with every day that passes. But with independent voters, Harris shows 48% prefer her to Trump with 35%. That there is a 13-point spread with Harris in the lead, where recently that lead was only 5%. That 8 point jump is rather stunning, and could come to define a trend that will make the election less of a horse race before November.
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ARE THESE NEW NUMBERS WITH INDEPENDENT VOTERS A SIGN OF A MAJOR SHIFT BEFORE ELECTION?
Trump still has a few demographics that like him more than Harris. That pretty much is summed up by two groups: men in general and people with no college degrees. Harris sees rather more broad support, from women, Hispanics, African Americans and white college graduates. But with this very notable trend with independent voters preferring Harris, we may see the trend become a wave that affects a broader voting audience. And what would otherwise be a very salable media horserace could very well become a race to know which states will try to throw their electoral votes to Trump, regardless of actual voters’ selections.
